What Changed?

Posted

Your company brought in a new CEO, and she believes that you can’t manage what you don’t measure. One of the first things she does is look at historical data on how long developers have spent fixing bugs over the past year. When she plots the data quarter by quarter, she gets the following:

linear-scale time plot

The change over time is easier to see when we scale the Y axis logarithmically:

log-scale time plot

The number of bugs taking more than 100 hours to close is clearly going up over time, but why? And why has the number of bugs closed per quarter been dropping:

quarter number
1 2222
2 1912
3 1525
4 993

There hasn’t been any turnover in the team, or a major rewrite of the product. What has changed? I’ll post the reason tomorrow; for today, see what theories you can come up with and what data you would need to confirm or refute them.